the end of poverty on a global scale

 


when there shall be no poor among you; for the Lord shall greatly bless thee in the land which the Lord thy God giveth thee for an inheritance to possess it:

(Deuteronomy 15:4)

And the Lord blessed the land, and they were blessed upon the mountains, and upon the high places, and did flourish.
18 And the Lord called his people Zion, because they were of one heart and one mind, and dwelt in righteousness; and there was no poor among them.
(Moses 7:17–18)

20 But it is not given that one man should possess that which is above another, wherefore the world lieth in sin.
(Doctrine and Covenants 49:20)


I don't know how many people realize that if Elon Musk pulls off what he's building, it will be the biggest social reset in human history. To understand why, you need to understand a concept almost nobody really gets: rent. Yesterday I was talking about it with someone. I told them something simple: the moment a rent sets in, whatever kind it is, it gets paid for. Not necessarily in dollars. It gets paid for in stagnation. So what is a rent? A rent is income that doesn't come from the value you create, but from the position you hold. You don't win because you're better. You win because nobody is allowed to come and beat you. The mechanism is almost always the same. A company succeeds. Then, instead of continuing to innovate, it goes for regulatory capture: licenses, standards, quotas, approvals, lobbying. It turns its lead into a wall. And behind that wall, new entrants can't get in. But they're the ones who innovate. They're the ones who drive prices down, raise quality, create new wealth. When you block them, nothing dramatic happens. Nothing happens at all. Prices stop falling. Quality stalls. The pie stops growing. And when the pie stops growing, the only way to get richer is to take someone else's slice. This is the point almost nobody sees: what people blame on "capitalism" (frozen inequality, a broken social ladder, the feeling that the game is rigged from the start) are the effects of that stagnation. The symptoms of rent. Not of capitalism. Capitalism is competition. Rent is its negation. Now, Elon Musk. He said that by 2036, money won't matter anymore. Most people read it as science fiction. I read it as an implicit critique of our entire monetary system. His reasoning: AI and robots will produce more than we can possibly consume. So prices will collapse. Deflation, not inflation. And this is where it gets interesting. For decades, the role of central banks has been to stabilize prices. In practice: to stop them from falling. Yet in an economy that innovates, the natural direction of prices is down. Look at what a computer cost thirty years ago. Preventing prices from falling was the worst thing we could have done. Because it created an entire generation of rentiers. People who got rich not by creating something, but by owning something at the right time. An apartment. A plot of land. An asset shielded from falling prices by money printing and by rules that choke supply. In a world not captured by the state, house prices would be extremely low. And who would stay rich? The people who keep creating value. The ones whose wealth comes from the valuation of their company, because their company keeps innovating. Wealth you have to re-earn every single year. That's where Elon's line really makes sense. In a world of deflationary abundance, human life would look like a video game. Or a game of chess. If you're good and you start at the bottom, you can rise very, very fast. In a few years. If you're bad and you inherit the inertia of a position you don't know how to maintain, against people who keep innovating, you fall very, very fast too. No more rent. No more entitlement. Just your ability to create value, put back on the line every day. It would be the greatest equalizer in human history. Not equality of outcomes imposed from above. Equality of the playing field, imposed by abundance. I think Elon Musk is reinventing the rules of capitalism. Or rather, bringing them back to their original form: the Austrian school. Real capitalism. Value creation as the only legitimate source of wealth. And at the end of the road, something neither rent nor redistribution has ever achieved: the end of poverty on a global scale.


Healthspan


17 The fear of the Lord was upon all nations, so great was the glory of the Lord, which was upon his people. And the Lord blessed the land, and they were blessed upon the mountains, and upon the high places, and did flourish.

18 And the Lord called his people Zion, because they were of one heart and one mind, and dwelt in righteousness; and there was no poor among them.

(Moses 7:17–18)



GeniusThinking

@GeniusGTX

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Peter Diamandis says we'll speedrun every science fiction movie ever written in the next decade.

Moon bases, nuclear plants on the moon, 500,000 data center satellites in orbit:

8 predictions he made:

1) Longevity escape velocity arrives in 2033

That's Ray Kurzweil's date, and Diamandis backs it.

Escape velocity is the year science starts adding more than a year to your life for every year you're alive. Past that point the arithmetic stops running against you, and everything below gets easier to believe.

2) All disease cured within a decade

This one is Demis Hassabis, CEO of Google DeepMind and Isomorphic Labs, and Diamandis relays it.

Cancer, cardiovascular, inflammatory. Hassabis said it on stage at Davos last year and Diamandis calls the presentation shocking.

3) Human lifespan doubled in ten years

Same source, same stage. Hassabis said we'd double the human lifespan inside the next ten years.

Diamandis's addition is that lifespan isn't the point. Healthspan is. How long you actually feel amazing.

4) Ambient AI in your home within two years

He already runs one. It's called Skippy, it lives on two Mac Studios in his house, and it has his WhatsApp, iMessage, email and calendar.

In two years he expects it reading your biometrics and adjusting your day around them.

5) Surgery is the next thing AI takes

The best diagnosis already comes from an AI rather than a human doctor, in his view.

Surgery is next, and he puts it five years out. He frames it against the fact that an operation can currently bankrupt the person having it.

6) Governments start printing money in two years

Not at COVID levels, but he expects direct payments to citizens inside two years.

The trigger is downsizing. He expects companies to go from full staff to around 20% of their employee base.

7) The backlash peaks in two to three years

He predicts a cacophony of voices demanding we cease developing AI entirely.

He also thinks it arrives too late. His view is that the technology simply isn't regulatable the way people imagine it is.

8) Moon bases inside the decade

NASA's administrator says we land, then bring nuclear plants and mine water ice.

Add Elon's 500,000 orbital data center satellites and Diamandis says the whole picture might be off by two or three years. Not more.

TLDR

1) Longevity escape velocity arrives in 2033

2) All disease cured within a decade

3) Human lifespan doubled in ten years

4) Ambient AI in your home within two years

5) Surgery is the next thing AI takes

6) Governments start printing money in two years

7) The backlash peaks in two to three years

8) Moon bases inside the decade


Amazing abundance

 




Translated from French
Elon said that thing again. « Everything will be free. » I've been repeating it for years. The average guy will have a billionaire's standard of living in the future. Not because money's gonna magically fall from the sky. Because a single KPI is gonna flip everything: Optimus. When Optimus arrives, here's what really happens. It can replicate all the tedious real-world tasks. Cooking. Grocery shopping. Redoing your apartment. Building. Teaching. Everything that today eats up human time and costs a fortune just because human labor is expensive. An Optimus is a physical version of an LLM. You can load a Michelin-starred chef's dish straight into its memory, just like transferring a writing style to a model. Anything that's ever been explored in the realm of ideas becomes infinitely replicable, without fatigue, without marginal cost. And that's when an unprecedented phenomenon hits human history. For the first time, the majority of jobs we considered tedious just vanish. The purpose of life is no longer about surviving or paying the bills. It becomes a choice. Figuring out what you really want to do. Often tied to taste, curiosity, what lights you up. Elon said recently that's exactly how we're gonna save the West from its abyssal debts. Through abundance. Not austerity. The penny's already starting to drop. If you know your history, you know how this ends. Amazing abundance. We're entering the most absurd and exhilarating era in human history. Go build.


The system is opening up




"A terrestrial economy relaunched by a shared project and a demographics that rebounds."


Elon Musk
@elonmusk
Replying to @ThomasAlxDmy
You don’t seem to understand that SpaceX will be worth more than the rest of Earth if we accomplish our goals


Translated from French
A month ago, on the heels of SpaceX's IPO, I published an analysis explaining why this company would be worth 30 to 50 trillion dollars within five years. Thirty million views, and quite a few people telling me I'd lost my mind. Elon had RT'd me. Yesterday, Elon Musk wrote that SpaceX will be worth more than the rest of Earth if its goals are achieved. "More than the rest of Earth." Everyone saw it as a provocation. I see it as a theorem. Let me demonstrate it. Let's pose the problem. Total global wealth, everything eight billion humans own—real estate, stocks, factories, gold—weighs in at about 500 trillion dollars. Saying one company will be worth more than all that combined seems arithmetically absurd. And it is. In a closed system. Musk's phrase says just one thing, and it's the most important of the century: the system is opening up. Let's grant the degrowthers their one valid point: infinite growth is impossible in a finite world. Their error isn't logical; it's geographical. They thought the world ended at Earth. But Earth represents 0.0003% of the solar system's mass and intercepts one half-billionth of the Sun's energy. We're squabbling over crumbs at the foot of a buffet no one's opened yet. Open it, and hypergrowth stops being a slogan and becomes a physical trajectory again. A. For ten thousand years, wealth has followed a single variable: the amount of energy and matter that humans know how to capture and organize. Fire, agriculture, coal, oil, atom, silicon. Every leap of civilization is an energy leap. Our entire civilization runs on 20 terawatts. The Sun radiates twenty thousand billion times more, continuously, for free, for four and a half billion years. On the Kardashev scale, we're a Type 0.7 civilization. The Sun alone takes us to Type II. B. SpaceX isn't participating in this transition. SpaceX owns the only door to it. Starship divides the cost of orbit by a hundred, the constellation handles communications, and the world's second player is ten years behind. I've already listed what that unlocks: orbital data centers, factories in microgravity, asteroid mining, Mars. What interests me today is the stage no one prices: what it unlocks in people's heads. Because here's what demographers refuse to see. Western birth rates aren't collapsing because of housing prices. Our great-grandparents had six kids in unheated homes. It's collapsing because we've confiscated the future. You don't have kids for a world we're told is ending. You have them for a world that's beginning. The Western birth rate peak coincides exactly with the peak of technological optimism: jets, the atom, Apollo. Girard understood it: a civilization deprived of a frontier turns its rivalry inward, and that's precisely our era—culture wars, resentment, decline managed by committees. Give it back a frontier, and that same mimetic energy becomes emulation, construction, transmission. The colonization of the cosmos is the first project capable of unifying the West since 1969. We'll have kids again like we laid cathedral stones, for a structure we won't see completed. The first baby born in orbit will do more for European demographics than fifty years of family policies. Now, add it up. A terrestrial economy relaunched by a shared project and a demographics that rebounds. A complete orbital economy—energy, computing, industry, tourism—where every dollar passes through the same tollbooth. A solar system whose matter and energy exceed everything Earth will ever hold. And one single company that controls access. If A, wealth follows captured energy, and if B, SpaceX alone opens a reservoir a billion times greater, then the conclusion follows on its own: comparing SpaceX to terrestrial wealth is a category error. Earth stops being the denominator. "More than the rest of Earth" isn't hyperbole. It's rounding down. No one, in front of the first oil well in 1859, sketched Dubai. No one, in front of the first transistor, imagined computing would become the world's top industry. We're in 1859, and the well has just gushed. I stand by what I wrote a month ago: buy optimism. I'm changing just one detail. The size of the underlying asset. It's the universe.